Vegas Golden Knights at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions
2026-01-27 • Centre Bell
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights (OT)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
MTL: 51.4%
VGK: 48.6%
Expected Goals
MTL: 3.38
VGK: 2.74
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 65%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
MTL
Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | MTL | VGK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.889 | 0.895 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.879 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.941 | 0.864 |
| GAA | 3.01 | 2.50 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MTL at home vs VGK: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | MTL 3 - 2 VGK | MTL | MTL |
| 2025-11-28 | VGK 1 - 4 MTL | MTL | VGK |
| 2024-12-31 | VGK 2 - 3 MTL | MTL | VGK |
| 2024-11-23 | MTL 2 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
| 2023-11-16 | MTL 5 - 6 VGK | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 08:38 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 04:24 | MTL | Goal |
| 2 | 08:55 | MTL | Goal |
| 3 | 16:52 | MTL | Goal |
| 4 | 03:58 | MTL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 51.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Montreal Canadiens 3 - 2 Vegas Golden Knights
Expected: 3.4 - 2.7
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