Los Angeles Kings at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-01-27 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 60.1%
LAK: 39.9%
Expected Goals
DET: 3.32
LAK: 2.88
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 14-11-9 | 0.900 SV% | 2.59 GAA
| Stat | DET | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.866 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.889 |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs LAK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | DET 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | DET |
| 2025-10-30 | LAK 3 - 4 DET | DET | LAK |
| 2025-01-27 | DET 5 - 2 LAK | DET | DET |
| 2024-11-16 | LAK 4 - 1 DET | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-01-13 | DET 5 - 3 LAK | DET | DET |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 10:00 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 18:47 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 17:45 | LAK | Goal |
| 3 | 06:46 | LAK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 4.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 1 - 3 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9