Winnipeg Jets at New Jersey Devils NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Prudential Center

New Jersey Devils 3 - 4 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (56% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NJD: 56.4%

WPG: 43.6%

Expected Goals

NJD: 3.16

WPG: 2.83

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 46%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NJD

Jake Allen - 11-8-1 | 0.912 SV% | 2.52 GAA

WPG

Connor Hellebuyck - 9-10-3 | 0.907 SV% | 2.51 GAA

Stat	NJD	WPG
Season SV%	0.912	0.907
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.52	2.51

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NJD	Jake Allen	26	22	4	84.6%	2.99	3	-1.01
WPG	Connor Hellebuyck	29	26	3	89.7%	2.93	3	-0.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NJD at home vs WPG: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	NJD 3 - 4 WPG	WPG	NJD
2026-01-11	WPG 4 - 3 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-28	WPG 4 - 0 NJD	WPG	WPG
2025-03-07	NJD 1 - 6 WPG	WPG	NJD
2024-03-21	NJD 4 - 1 WPG	NJD	WPG

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NJD	14	0	0.81
1	WPG	13	1	1.01
2	NJD	9	3	0.96
2	WPG	17	1	1.15
3	NJD	18	0	1.16
3	WPG	8	1	0.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown