Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

🚨 Upset Loss (60% underdog)

Win Probability

STL: 59.6%

DAL: 40.4%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.82

DAL: 2.98

Total Goals

Median: 5.7

Over 5.5: 54%

Over 6.5: 36%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • STL at home vs DAL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	DAL 5 - 4 STL	DAL	DAL
2026-01-27	STL 3 - 4 DAL	DAL	STL
2026-01-23	DAL 3 - 2 STL	DAL	DAL
2025-10-18	STL 3 - 1 DAL	STL	STL
2025-03-02	DAL 6 - 3 STL	DAL	DAL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	1	0.88
1	DAL	15	1	1.13
2	STL	10	0	0.45
2	DAL	16	1	1.08
3	STL	14	0	0.82
3	DAL	10	2	0.91

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.8

Score Breakdown

St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Dallas Stars

Expected: 3.8 - 3.0