Dallas Stars at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-01-27 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Dallas Stars
🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 60.6%
DAL: 39.4%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.34
DAL: 3.91
Total Goals
Median: 7.0
Over 5.5: 70%
Over 6.5: 56%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Jordan Binnington - 8-17-6 | 0.864 SV% | 3.65 GAA
DAL
Jake Oettinger - 23-10-4 | 0.897 SV% | 2.73 GAA
| Stat | STL | DAL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.869 | 0.907 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.826 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.856 | 0.874 |
| GAA | 3.56 | 2.57 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • STL at home vs DAL: 3-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | DAL 5 - 4 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2026-01-27 | STL 3 - 4 DAL | DAL | STL |
| 2026-01-23 | DAL 3 - 2 STL | DAL | DAL |
| 2025-10-18 | STL 3 - 1 DAL | STL | STL |
| 2025-03-02 | DAL 6 - 3 STL | DAL | DAL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 18:06 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 04:00 | DAL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:20 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 15:50 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 06:22 | DAL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:15 | DAL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 60.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 7.3
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 3 - 4 Dallas Stars
Expected: 3.3 - 3.9