Chicago Blackhawks at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks (SO)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

MIN: 75.2%

CHI: 24.8%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.71

CHI: 2.75

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

MIN

Jesper Wallstedt - 11-2-3 | 0.928 SV% | 2.21 GAA

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

Stat	MIN	CHI
Season SV%	0.928	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.21	2.63

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
MIN	Jesper Wallstedt	33	30	3	90.9%	4.58	5	1.58
CHI	Spencer Knight	25	21	4	84.0%	3.66	3	-0.34

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • MIN at home vs CHI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	MIN 1 - 2 CHI	CHI	MIN
2026-03-17	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-01-27	MIN 4 - 3 CHI	MIN	MIN
2025-11-26	CHI 3 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN
2025-01-26	CHI 2 - 4 MIN	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.44
1	CHI	16	4	2.30
2	MIN	15	0	1.05
2	CHI	11	0	0.70
3	MIN	9	2	0.99
3	CHI	10	1	0.80
4	MIN	4	0	0.35
4	CHI	7	0	0.63
5	MIN	3	1	0.83
5	CHI	2	0	0.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 75.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Chicago Blackhawks

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8