Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2026-01-27 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Washington Capitals
🚨 Upset Win (52% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 48.3%
WSH: 51.7%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.91
WSH: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.2
Over 5.5: 41%
Over 6.5: 27%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
WSH
Logan Thompson - 31-21-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.44 GAA
| Stat | SEA | WSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.854 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.882 |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.39 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs WSH: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-27 | SEA 5 - 1 WSH | SEA | WSH |
| 2025-10-21 | WSH 4 - 1 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-03-09 | WSH 4 - 2 SEA | WSH | WSH |
| 2025-01-23 | SEA 0 - 3 WSH | WSH | WSH |
| 2024-03-14 | SEA 1 - 2 WSH | WSH | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 01:15 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 10:09 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 17:54 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 02:30 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 13:12 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 16:27 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 51.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 5.8
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Washington Capitals
Expected: 2.9 - 2.9
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