Washington Capitals at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-27 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

🚨 Upset Win (56% underdog)

Win Probability

SEA: 44.5%

WSH: 55.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.00

WSH: 2.70

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 47%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • SEA at home vs WSH: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-27	SEA 5 - 1 WSH	SEA	WSH
2025-10-21	WSH 4 - 1 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-03-09	WSH 4 - 2 SEA	WSH	WSH
2025-01-23	SEA 0 - 3 WSH	WSH	WSH
2024-03-14	SEA 1 - 2 WSH	WSH	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	20	1	1.09
1	WSH	7	0	0.61
2	SEA	14	0	0.78
2	WSH	9	0	0.50
3	SEA	13	0	0.82
3	WSH	13	1	1.39

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 1 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 2.7