Colorado Avalanche at Ottawa Senators NHL Predictions
2026-01-28 • Canadian Tire Centre
Ottawa Senators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
OTT: 58.1%
COL: 41.9%
Expected Goals
OTT: 3.24
COL: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | OTT | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.881 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.882 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.935 |
| GAA | 2.95 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • OTT at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-28 | OTT 5 - 2 COL | OTT | OTT |
| 2026-01-08 | COL 8 - 2 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-20 | OTT 1 - 5 COL | COL | OTT |
| 2024-10-27 | COL 5 - 4 OTT | COL | COL |
| 2024-01-16 | OTT 4 - 7 COL | COL | OTT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 03:21 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:05 | OTT | Goal |
| 2 | 14:22 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 02:06 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 03:30 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:44 | OTT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | OTT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.1%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Ottawa Senators 5 - 2 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.2 - 2.9