New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-01-28 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 57.4%
NYR: 42.6%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.61
NYR: 2.68
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 47%
Over 6.5: 34%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 17-12-4 | 0.913 SV% | 2.45 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.942 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.981 | 0.900 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | NYR 1 - 2 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2026-01-28 | NYI 5 - 2 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-12-27 | NYI 2 - 0 NYR | NYI | NYI |
| 2025-11-08 | NYR 0 - 5 NYI | NYI | NYR |
| 2025-04-10 | NYI 2 - 9 NYR | NYR | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:04 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 16:10 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 14:59 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 19:12 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 15:42 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:59 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 13:12 | NYI | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.3
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers
Expected: 2.6 - 2.7