New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers

Win Probability

NYI: 59.6%

NYR: 40.4%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.57

NYR: 3.00

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYI	19	1	1.23
1	NYR	11	0	0.97
2	NYI	17	3	1.50
2	NYR	9	0	0.34
3	NYI	12	0	0.58
3	NYR	8	0	0.49

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 59.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.6 - 3.0