New York Rangers at New York Islanders NHL Predictions

2026-01-28 • UBS Arena

New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

NYI: 48.9%

NYR: 51.1%

Expected Goals

NYI: 3.10

NYR: 4.21

Total Goals

Median: 8.1

Over 5.5: 77%

Over 6.5: 69%

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYI at home vs NYR: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYR
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	14:59	NYI	Goal
1	16:10	NYI	Goal
1	18:04	NYI	Goal
2	13:12	NYI	Goal
2	13:59	NYI	Goal
2	15:42	NYI	Goal
2	19:12	NYI	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 51.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 7.3

Score Breakdown

New York Islanders 5 - 2 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.1 - 4.2