Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

🚨 Upset Win (57% underdog)

Win Probability

BOS: 43.1%

PHI: 56.9%

Expected Goals

BOS: 2.99

PHI: 3.06

Total Goals

Median: 5.5

Over 5.5: 47%

Over 6.5: 34%

BOS

Jeremy Swayman - 31-18-4 | 0.907 SV% | 2.71 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Time	Team	Scorer
1	09:49	BOS	Goal
1	10:30	BOS	Goal
2	02:27	BOS	Goal
2	03:16	BOS	Goal
2	16:12	BOS	Goal
2	18:40	BOS	Goal
2	19:05	BOS	Goal
3	16:30	BOS	Goal
3	18:19	BOS	Goal

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 56.9%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.0 - 3.1