Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions
2026-01-29 • TD Garden
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BOS: 57.9%
PHI: 42.1%
Expected Goals
BOS: 3.38
PHI: 2.94
Total Goals
Median: 6.2
Over 5.5: 64%
Over 6.5: 47%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
PHI
Dan Vladar - 17-9-6 | 0.905 SV% | 2.46 GAA
| Stat | BOS | PHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.889 | 0.918 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.917 | 1.000 |
| GAA | 2.84 | 2.40 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | BOS 6 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-12-07 | BOS 4 - 3 PHI | BOS | BOS |
| 2024-11-02 | PHI 0 - 3 BOS | BOS | PHI |
| 2024-10-29 | BOS 0 - 2 PHI | PHI | BOS |
| 2024-03-23 | PHI 3 - 2 BOS | PHI | PHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:30 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 09:49 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 19:05 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 18:40 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 16:12 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 03:16 | BOS | Goal |
| 2 | 02:27 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 18:19 | BOS | Goal |
| 3 | 16:30 | BOS | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers
Expected: 3.4 - 2.9