Philadelphia Flyers at Boston Bruins NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • TD Garden

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Win Probability

BOS: 62.3%

PHI: 37.7%

Expected Goals

BOS: 3.19

PHI: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 44%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • BOS at home vs PHI: 3-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-05	PHI 2 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-02-28	PHI 3 - 1 BOS	PHI	PHI
2026-01-29	BOS 6 - 3 PHI	BOS	BOS
2024-12-07	BOS 4 - 3 PHI	BOS	PHI
2024-11-02	PHI 0 - 3 BOS	BOS	PHI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BOS	14	0	1.34
1	PHI	12	2	0.81
2	BOS	13	2	1.22
2	PHI	16	2	1.50
3	BOS	11	1	0.80
3	PHI	19	3	1.64

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 62.3%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

Boston Bruins 6 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 3.2 - 3.0