Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • KeyBank Center

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

🚨 Upset Win (50% underdog)

Win Probability

BUF: 49.6%

LAK: 50.4%

Expected Goals

BUF: 3.39

LAK: 3.13

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 17% • BUF at home vs LAK: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-21	LAK 1 - 4 BUF	BUF	LAK
2026-01-29	BUF 4 - 1 LAK	BUF	LAK
2024-11-20	LAK 0 - 1 BUF	BUF	LAK
2024-10-10	BUF 1 - 3 LAK	LAK	BUF
2024-02-13	BUF 7 - 0 LAK	BUF	BUF

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	BUF	10	0	0.73
1	LAK	17	1	0.86
2	BUF	18	1	1.37
2	LAK	22	0	1.25
3	BUF	11	1	1.12
3	LAK	14	0	0.80

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1