Los Angeles Kings at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-01-29 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 55.2%
LAK: 44.8%
Expected Goals
BUF: 3.52
LAK: 3.26
Total Goals
Median: 8.4
Over 5.5: 86%
Over 6.5: 77%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
LAK
Darcy Kuemper - 19-14-15 | 0.891 SV% | 2.78 GAA
| Stat | BUF | LAK |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.833 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.974 | 0.903 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.27 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • BUF at home vs LAK: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-21 | LAK 1 - 4 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2026-01-29 | BUF 4 - 1 LAK | BUF | BUF |
| 2024-11-20 | LAK 0 - 1 BUF | BUF | LAK |
| 2024-10-10 | BUF 1 - 3 LAK | LAK | LAK |
| 2024-02-13 | BUF 7 - 0 LAK | BUF | BUF |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 07:14 | BUF | Goal |
| 1 | 11:17 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 06:29 | BUF | Goal |
| 2 | 07:47 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 19:00 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 55.2%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings
Expected: 3.5 - 3.3
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