Washington Capitals at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Little Caesars Arena

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Washington Capitals (SO)

Win Probability

DET: 48.2%

WSH: 51.8%

Expected Goals

DET: 2.98

WSH: 3.20

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • DET at home vs WSH: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	DET 3 - 4 WSH	WSH	WSH
2025-12-21	DET 3 - 2 WSH	DET	DET
2025-12-20	WSH 2 - 5 DET	DET	DET
2025-03-18	WSH 4 - 1 DET	WSH	WSH
2025-03-07	WSH 5 - 2 DET	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DET	8	0	0.51
1	WSH	10	0	0.46
2	DET	13	0	0.67
2	WSH	10	0	0.44
3	DET	17	0	1.21
3	WSH	8	0	0.70
4	DET	2	0	0.25
4	WSH	3	0	0.13
5	DET	3	2	1.80
5	WSH	3	3	2.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 51.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Detroit Red Wings 3 - 4 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.0 - 3.2