New York Islanders at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 1 - 2 New York Islanders

🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 54.2%

NYI: 45.8%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.97

NYI: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 5.9

Over 5.5: 53%

Over 6.5: 40%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • NYR at home vs NYI: 4-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	NYR 1 - 2 NYI	NYI	NYR
2026-01-28	NYI 5 - 2 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-12-27	NYI 2 - 0 NYR	NYI	NYI
2025-11-08	NYR 0 - 5 NYI	NYI	NYR
2025-04-10	NYI 2 - 9 NYR	NYR	NYI

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NYR	13	0	0.54
1	NYI	12	0	0.32
2	NYR	10	1	0.51
2	NYI	11	0	0.52
3	NYR	8	1	0.65
3	NYI	13	1	1.37

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 54.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 1 - 2 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.0 - 3.0