Chicago Blackhawks at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-29 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 67.3%
CHI: 32.7%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.49
CHI: 2.64
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 55%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 19-12-5 | 0.890 SV% | 2.79 GAA
CHI
Spencer Knight - 16-16-7 | 0.908 SV% | 2.62 GAA
| Stat | PIT | CHI |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.909 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.863 | 0.864 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.931 | 0.556 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.63 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PIT at home vs CHI: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | PIT 6 - 2 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-12-28 | CHI 3 - 7 PIT | PIT | CHI |
| 2025-04-08 | PIT 5 - 0 CHI | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-04-06 | CHI 3 - 1 PIT | CHI | CHI |
| 2024-02-15 | CHI 1 - 4 PIT | PIT | CHI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 09:32 | CHI | Goal |
| 1 | 11:24 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 05:54 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 15:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 16:01 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 19:30 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 13:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 14:31 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 67.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 2 Chicago Blackhawks
Expected: 3.5 - 2.6