Utah Hockey Club at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Lenovo Center

Carolina Hurricanes 5 - 4 Utah Hockey Club

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CAR: 71.6%

UTA: 28.4%

Expected Goals

CAR: 3.70

UTA: 2.40

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 42%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CAR

Brandon Bussi - 13-2-1 | 0.901 SV% | 2.33 GAA

UTA

Karel Vejmelka - 17-10-2 | 0.895 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Stat	CAR	UTA
Season SV%	0.901	0.895
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.33	2.68

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CAR	Brandon Bussi	25	21	4	84.0%	2.92	2	-1.08
UTA	Karel Vejmelka	33	28	5	84.8%	3.93	3	-1.07

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 75% • CAR at home vs UTA: 2-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-11	UTA 1 - 4 CAR	CAR	CAR
2026-01-29	CAR 5 - 4 UTA	CAR	CAR
2025-02-08	CAR 7 - 3 UTA	CAR	CAR
2024-11-13	UTA 4 - 1 CAR	UTA	CAR

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CAR	14	0	1.05
1	UTA	11	0	0.55
2	CAR	14	0	1.11
2	UTA	16	1	1.29
3	CAR	23	3	1.77
3	UTA	8	1	1.09

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 71.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown