Florida Panthers at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions
2026-01-29 • Enterprise Center
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Florida Panthers
🚨 Upset Win (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
STL: 42.4%
FLA: 57.6%
Expected Goals
STL: 3.24
FLA: 2.49
Total Goals
Median: 5.0
Over 5.5: 39%
Over 6.5: 24%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
STL
Joel Hofer - 23-13-5 | 0.910 SV% | 2.60 GAA
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 27-23-1 | 0.877 SV% | 3.07 GAA
| Stat | STL | FLA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.917 | 0.860 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.878 | — |
| GAA | 2.87 | 2.80 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • STL at home vs FLA: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | STL 5 - 4 FLA | STL | FLA |
| 2025-12-20 | FLA 2 - 6 STL | STL | FLA |
| 2025-02-06 | STL 2 - 3 FLA | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-12-20 | FLA 2 - 1 STL | FLA | FLA |
| 2024-01-09 | STL 1 - 5 FLA | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 03:12 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 04:46 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 07:51 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 09:22 | STL | Goal |
| 1 | 14:27 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 00:41 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 16:52 | STL | Goal |
| 2 | 18:39 | STL | Goal |
| 3 | 19:51 | STL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.6%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 5.7
Score Breakdown
St. Louis Blues 5 - 4 Florida Panthers
Expected: 3.2 - 2.5
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