Calgary Flames at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Win Probability

MIN: 57.8%

CGY: 42.2%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.21

CGY: 3.14

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 63%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • MIN at home vs CGY: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	MIN 4 - 1 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-12-04	CGY 4 - 1 MIN	CGY	CGY
2025-11-09	MIN 2 - 0 CGY	MIN	MIN
2025-04-11	CGY 4 - 2 MIN	CGY	MIN
2025-01-25	MIN 4 - 5 CGY	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	6	0	0.44
1	CGY	20	0	1.01
2	MIN	12	0	0.37
2	CGY	14	0	0.73
3	MIN	21	2	2.15
3	CGY	14	0	0.97

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 57.8%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 1 Calgary Flames

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1