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San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Rogers Place
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks (OT)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
EDM: 71.4%
SJS: 28.6%
Expected Goals
EDM: 3.70
SJS: 2.75
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

EDM
Tristan Jarry - 18-9-3 | 0.882 SV% | 3.32 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 21-20-4 | 0.883 SV% | 3.63 GAA
StatEDMSJS
Season SV%0.9060.896
Last 5 SV%0.8370.862
SV% vs Opponent1.0000.857
GAA2.733.36
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 82% • EDM at home vs SJS: 5-0
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-08SJS 2 - 5 EDMEDMEDM
2026-03-17EDM 5 - 3 SJSEDMEDM
2026-02-28SJS 5 - 4 EDMSJSEDM
2026-01-29EDM 4 - 3 SJSEDMEDM
2025-04-16SJS 0 - 3 EDMEDMEDM

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
100:26SJSGoal
101:35SJSGoal
111:40SJSGoal
301:34SJSGoal
316:55SJSGoal
319:01EDMGoal
401:06EDMGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for San Jose Sharks at Edmonton Oilers

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 71.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.4
Score Breakdown
Edmonton Oilers 4 - 3 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.7 - 2.8