Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions

2026-01-29 • Climate Pledge Arena

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Win Probability

SEA: 54.5%

TOR: 45.5%

Expected Goals

SEA: 3.20

TOR: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • SEA at home vs TOR: 1-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-29	SEA 5 - 2 TOR	SEA	SEA
2025-10-18	TOR 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	SEA
2025-02-06	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	TOR
2024-10-31	TOR 4 - 1 SEA	TOR	TOR
2024-01-21	SEA 1 - 3 TOR	TOR	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	SEA	13	0	0.60
1	TOR	17	0	1.25
2	SEA	7	0	0.30
2	TOR	21	0	1.42
3	SEA	9	1	0.77
3	TOR	12	0	0.56

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1