Toronto Maple Leafs at Seattle Kraken NHL Predictions
2026-01-29 • Climate Pledge Arena
Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
SEA: 57.4%
TOR: 42.6%
Expected Goals
SEA: 2.99
TOR: 3.11
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 39%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
TOR
Joseph Woll - 13-7-4 | 0.908 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | SEA | TOR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.903 | 0.914 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.919 | 0.910 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.918 | — |
| GAA | 2.77 | 2.74 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • SEA at home vs TOR: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-29 | SEA 5 - 2 TOR | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-10-18 | TOR 3 - 4 SEA | SEA | TOR |
| 2025-02-06 | SEA 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | SEA |
| 2024-10-31 | TOR 4 - 1 SEA | TOR | TOR |
| 2024-01-21 | SEA 1 - 3 TOR | TOR | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 15:02 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 01:21 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:54 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 06:23 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 17:23 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 08:32 | SEA | Goal |
| 3 | 06:04 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 57.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Seattle Kraken 5 - 2 Toronto Maple Leafs
Expected: 3.0 - 3.1