Columbus Blue Jackets at Chicago Blackhawks NHL Predictions

2026-01-30 • United Center

Chicago Blackhawks 2 - 4 Columbus Blue Jackets

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

CHI: 39.6%

CBJ: 60.4%

Expected Goals

CHI: 2.68

CBJ: 3.54

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

CHI

Spencer Knight - 11-11-6 | 0.909 SV% | 2.63 GAA

CBJ

Elvis Merzlikins - 6-6-1 | 0.877 SV% | 4.04 GAA

Stat	CHI	CBJ
Season SV%	0.909	0.877
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.63	4.04

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
CHI	Spencer Knight	26	22	4	84.6%	3.74	3	-0.26
CBJ	Elvis Merzlikins	24	22	2	91.7%	2.16	1	0.16

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • CHI at home vs CBJ: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	CBJ 4 - 0 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2026-01-30	CHI 2 - 4 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2025-02-22	CBJ 5 - 1 CHI	CBJ	CBJ
2024-12-01	CHI 3 - 6 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ
2024-03-02	CHI 2 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CHI	13	1	0.53
1	CBJ	21	1	1.36
2	CHI	12	0	0.63
2	CBJ	15	1	1.05
3	CHI	15	0	1.00
3	CBJ	8	1	1.34

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown