Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

PHI: 55.0%

LAK: 45.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.40

LAK: 3.04

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 47%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

PHI

Dan Vladar - 14-6-3 | 0.910 SV% | 2.40 GAA

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

Stat	PHI	LAK
Season SV%	0.910	0.913
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.40	2.27

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
PHI	Dan Vladar	21	18	3	85.7%	2.28	3	-0.72
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	21	19	2	90.5%	2.65	1	0.65

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs LAK: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.70
1	LAK	15	2	1.27
2	PHI	19	1	1.20
2	LAK	8	1	0.55
3	PHI	10	0	0.60
3	LAK	13	0	0.39
4	PHI	1	0	0.15
4	LAK	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0