Los Angeles Kings at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (50% underdog)

Win Probability

PHI: 50.0%

LAK: 50.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.37

LAK: 3.15

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 64%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • PHI at home vs LAK: 0-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-19	LAK 3 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK
2026-01-31	PHI 2 - 3 LAK	LAK	PHI
2024-12-29	LAK 5 - 4 PHI	LAK	LAK
2024-12-19	PHI 3 - 7 LAK	LAK	LAK
2023-11-11	LAK 2 - 4 PHI	PHI	LAK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	10	0	0.70
1	LAK	15	2	1.27
2	PHI	19	1	1.20
2	LAK	8	1	0.55
3	PHI	10	0	0.60
3	LAK	13	0	0.39
4	PHI	1	0	0.15
4	LAK	1	0	0.07

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 2 - 3 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.4 - 3.1