Colorado Avalanche at Detroit Red Wings NHL Predictions
2026-01-31 • Little Caesars Arena
Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
DET: 53.7%
COL: 46.3%
Expected Goals
DET: 2.99
COL: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 5.7
Over 5.5: 52%
Over 6.5: 37%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
DET
John Gibson - 22-12-2 | 0.904 SV% | 2.62 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | DET | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.893 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.887 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | — |
| GAA | 2.97 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • DET at home vs COL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | COL 0 - 2 DET | DET | COL |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0 - 5 COL | COL | DET |
| 2025-03-25 | COL 5 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1 - 2 COL | COL | DET |
| 2024-03-06 | COL 7 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 10:03 | COL | Goal |
| 1 | 06:44 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:33 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:24 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 07:35 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 53.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
Detroit Red Wings 0 - 5 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.0 - 2.9