New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions
2026-01-31 • PPG Paints Arena
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 New York Rangers
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
PIT: 68.7%
NYR: 31.3%
Expected Goals
PIT: 3.60
NYR: 2.93
Total Goals
Median: 7.2
Over 5.5: 73%
Over 6.5: 61%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
NYR
Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA
| Stat | PIT | NYR |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.910 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.886 | 0.912 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.900 | 0.951 |
| GAA | 2.91 | 2.51 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • PIT at home vs NYR: 1-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-28 | NYR 3 - 2 PIT | NYR | PIT |
| 2026-01-31 | PIT 6 - 5 NYR | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-10-11 | PIT 1 - 6 NYR | NYR | PIT |
| 2025-10-07 | NYR 0 - 3 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-02-23 | PIT 3 - 5 NYR | NYR | PIT |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:37 | PIT | Goal |
| 1 | 06:05 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 12:59 | PIT | Goal |
| 2 | 18:28 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:20 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 01:40 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 09:12 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 15:15 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 17:28 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 18:53 | PIT | Goal |
| 3 | 19:49 | PIT | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 68.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 11.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 New York Rangers
Expected: 3.6 - 2.9
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