New York Rangers at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 New York Rangers

Win Probability

PIT: 58.1%

NYR: 41.9%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.90

NYR: 3.02

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • PIT at home vs NYR: 1-5

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-28	NYR 3 - 2 PIT	NYR	PIT
2026-01-31	PIT 6 - 5 NYR	PIT	PIT
2025-10-11	PIT 1 - 6 NYR	NYR	NYR
2025-10-07	NYR 0 - 3 PIT	PIT	PIT
2025-02-23	PIT 3 - 5 NYR	NYR	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	15	0	1.09
1	NYR	13	1	1.04
2	PIT	18	2	1.50
2	NYR	4	0	0.23
3	PIT	24	3	2.98
3	NYR	13	1	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.9

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 6 - 5 New York Rangers

Expected: 3.9 - 3.0