Winnipeg Jets at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Amerant Bank Arena

Florida Panthers 1 - 2 Winnipeg Jets

🚨 Upset Loss (53% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

FLA: 53.1%

WPG: 46.9%

Expected Goals

FLA: 2.95

WPG: 3.03

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

FLA

Sergei Bobrovsky - 17-9-1 | 0.888 SV% | 2.80 GAA

WPG

Eric Comrie - 6-9-1 | 0.880 SV% | 3.49 GAA

Stat	FLA	WPG
Season SV%	0.888	0.880
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.80	3.49

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
FLA	Sergei Bobrovsky	21	19	2	90.5%	2.02	1	0.02
WPG	Eric Comrie	28	27	1	96.4%	1.72	0	0.72

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs WPG: 2-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-01-31	FLA 1 - 2 WPG	WPG	FLA
2026-01-22	WPG 1 - 2 FLA	FLA	FLA
2024-11-19	WPG 6 - 3 FLA	WPG	FLA
2024-11-16	FLA 5 - 0 WPG	FLA	FLA
2023-11-24	FLA 0 - 3 WPG	WPG	FLA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	FLA	19	0	0.85
1	WPG	12	0	0.76
2	FLA	9	0	0.42
2	WPG	8	0	0.54
3	FLA	13	0	0.45
3	WPG	7	1	0.73

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 53.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 3.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown