San Jose Sharks at Calgary Flames NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Scotiabank Saddledome

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

🚨 Upset Win (51% underdog)

Win Probability

CGY: 49.3%

SJS: 50.7%

Expected Goals

CGY: 3.23

SJS: 3.12

Total Goals

Median: 6.2

Over 5.5: 61%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • CGY at home vs SJS: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-26	SJS 1 - 4 CGY	CGY	SJS
2026-01-31	CGY 3 - 2 SJS	CGY	SJS
2025-12-16	SJS 6 - 3 CGY	SJS	CGY
2025-11-13	CGY 2 - 0 SJS	CGY	CGY
2025-04-13	CGY 5 - 2 SJS	CGY	CGY

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	CGY	22	1	1.01
1	SJS	15	2	1.56
2	CGY	22	2	1.67
2	SJS	9	2	0.91
3	CGY	18	2	2.03
3	SJS	11	0	1.00

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 50.7%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.3

Score Breakdown

Calgary Flames 3 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.2 - 3.1