Nashville Predators at New York Islanders NHL Predictions
2026-01-31 • UBS Arena
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Nashville Predators
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
NYI: 57.8%
NSH: 42.2%
Expected Goals
NYI: 2.86
NSH: 3.05
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 41%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
NYI
Ilya Sorokin - 20-13-2 | 0.916 SV% | 2.44 GAA
NSH
Juuse Saros - 21-17-5 | 0.892 SV% | 3.20 GAA
| Stat | NYI | NSH |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.910 | 0.897 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.930 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.905 | 0.934 |
| GAA | 2.55 | 2.93 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 83% • NYI at home vs NSH: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | NYI 3 - 4 NSH | NSH | NYI |
| 2026-01-08 | NSH 2 - 1 NYI | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-04-08 | NSH 7 - 6 NYI | NSH | NSH |
| 2025-03-01 | NYI 7 - 4 NSH | NYI | NYI |
| 2024-04-06 | NYI 2 - 0 NSH | NYI | NYI |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:53 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 09:59 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 05:57 | NYI | Goal |
| 1 | 01:29 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 14:11 | NYI | Goal |
| 2 | 07:21 | NYI | Goal |
| 3 | 18:46 | NSH | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 5.9
Score Breakdown
New York Islanders 3 - 4 Nashville Predators
Expected: 2.9 - 3.0