Columbus Blue Jackets at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 3 - 5 Columbus Blue Jackets

🚨 Upset Loss (61% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 61.2%

CBJ: 38.8%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.10

CBJ: 2.78

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 45%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Jordan Binnington - 7-10-6 | 0.869 SV% | 3.56 GAA

CBJ

Jet Greaves - 11-10-5 | 0.909 SV% | 2.62 GAA

Stat	STL	CBJ
Season SV%	0.869	0.909
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.56	2.62

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Jordan Binnington	23	18	5	78.3%	3.15	3	-1.85
CBJ	Jet Greaves	33	30	3	90.9%	2.91	1	-0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • STL at home vs CBJ: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-10	STL 5 - 3 CBJ	STL	STL
2026-01-31	STL 3 - 5 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-11-01	CBJ 3 - 2 STL	CBJ	CBJ
2025-01-11	STL 1 - 2 CBJ	CBJ	STL
2025-01-04	CBJ 6 - 4 STL	CBJ	CBJ

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	11	0	0.96
1	CBJ	16	0	0.76
2	STL	11	0	0.53
2	CBJ	11	1	0.58
3	STL	25	1	1.42
3	CBJ	14	2	1.82

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 61.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 8.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown