Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

🚨 Upset Loss (62% underdog)

Win Probability

VGK: 62.0%

SEA: 38.0%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.78

SEA: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-15	VGK 4 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK
2026-04-09	SEA 4 - 3 VGK	SEA	VGK
2026-01-31	VGK 2 - 3 SEA	SEA	VGK
2025-10-11	SEA 2 - 1 VGK	SEA	VGK
2025-04-10	VGK 2 - 1 SEA	VGK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	10	0	0.52
1	SEA	9	1	0.77
2	VGK	19	2	1.49
2	SEA	14	1	1.07
3	VGK	14	1	0.85
3	SEA	12	1	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 62.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.8 - 2.8