Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-01-31 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (65% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 64.8%
SEA: 35.2%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.48
SEA: 3.56
Total Goals
Median: 6.9
Over 5.5: 68%
Over 6.5: 53%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 16-13-5 | 0.902 SV% | 2.84 GAA
| Stat | VGK | SEA |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.919 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.864 | 0.946 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 2.77 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • VGK at home vs SEA: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-01-31 | VGK 2 - 3 SEA | SEA | VGK |
| 2025-10-11 | SEA 2 - 1 VGK | SEA | SEA |
| 2025-04-10 | VGK 2 - 1 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-21 | VGK 6 - 2 SEA | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-11-08 | SEA 4 - 3 VGK | SEA | SEA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 06:50 | SEA | Goal |
| 1 | 13:04 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 08:52 | SEA | Goal |
| 2 | 19:48 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:18 | SEA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 64.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 7.0
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.5 - 3.6