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Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-01-31 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken
🚨 Upset Loss (73% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability
VGK: 72.7%
SEA: 27.3%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.82
SEA: 2.48
Total Goals
Median: 6.5
Over 5.5: 69%
Over 6.5: 54%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-10-6 | 0.893 SV% | 2.59 GAA
SEA
Joey Daccord - 20-20-6 | 0.896 SV% | 3.03 GAA
StatVGKSEA
Season SV%0.8950.903
Last 5 SV%0.8790.854
SV% vs Opponent0.8640.934
GAA2.502.77
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 55% • VGK at home vs SEA: 5-1
DateScoreWinnerModel Pick
2026-04-15VGK 4 - 1 SEAVGKVGK
2026-04-09SEA 4 - 3 VGKSEAVGK
2026-01-31VGK 2 - 3 SEASEAVGK
2025-10-11SEA 2 - 1 VGKSEAVGK
2025-04-10VGK 2 - 1 SEAVGKVGK

⚡ In-Game Win Probability

0% 25% 50% 75% 100% 0:00 20:00 40:00 60:00 In-Game Win Probability Home Win Probability Game Time (minutes)

Goals

PeriodTimeTeamScorer
106:50SEAGoal
113:04SEAGoal
208:52SEAGoal
219:48VGKGoal
303:18SEAGoal

🎯 Shot Chart

Shot chart for Seattle Kraken at Vegas Golden Knights

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 72.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 5.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 2 - 3 Seattle Kraken
Expected: 3.8 - 2.5