Buffalo Sabres at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-02-02 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
🚨 Upset Loss (54% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 54.4%
BUF: 45.6%
Expected Goals
FLA: 2.84
BUF: 3.39
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 60%
Over 6.5: 44%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
BUF
Alex Lyon - 14-8-3 | 0.913 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | FLA | BUF |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.906 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.934 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.851 | 0.959 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.82 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 60% • FLA at home vs BUF: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | FLA 3 - 5 BUF | BUF | FLA |
| 2026-01-12 | BUF 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BUF |
| 2025-10-18 | BUF 3 - 0 FLA | BUF | BUF |
| 2025-04-12 | FLA 3 - 2 BUF | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-03-08 | FLA 4 - 0 BUF | FLA | FLA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 18:26 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 15:03 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 05:54 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 00:37 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:59 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 05:44 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 17:51 | BUF | Goal |
| 3 | 05:31 | BUF | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 54.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 8.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 3 - 5 Buffalo Sabres
Expected: 2.8 - 3.4