Montreal Canadiens at Minnesota Wild NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Grand Casino Arena

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens (OT)

Win Probability

MIN: 52.1%

MTL: 47.9%

Expected Goals

MIN: 3.43

MTL: 2.99

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 62%

Over 6.5: 48%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • MIN at home vs MTL: 3-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN
2026-01-20	MTL 4 - 3 MIN	MTL	MTL
2025-01-30	MTL 0 - 4 MIN	MIN	MTL
2024-11-14	MIN 3 - 0 MTL	MIN	MIN
2023-12-21	MIN 4 - 3 MTL	MIN	MIN

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	MIN	13	0	0.62
1	MTL	6	1	0.42
2	MIN	15	0	1.10
2	MTL	14	0	0.56
3	MIN	18	0	0.83
3	MTL	8	2	0.71
4	MIN	4	0	0.42
4	MTL	1	0	0.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 52.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Minnesota Wild 4 - 3 Montreal Canadiens

Expected: 3.4 - 3.0