St. Louis Blues at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-02-02 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 6 - 5 St. Louis Blues

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 58.1%

STL: 41.9%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.36

STL: 3.01

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 44%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

Stat	NSH	STL
Season SV%	0.897	0.901
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.87

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	34	29	5	85.3%	3.55	1	-1.45
STL	Joel Hofer	28	22	6	78.6%	3.68	2	-2.32

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 73% • NSH at home vs STL: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-02	NSH 6 - 5 STL	NSH	NSH
2025-12-27	STL 3 - 2 NSH	STL	STL
2025-12-15	STL 2 - 5 NSH	NSH	STL
2025-12-11	NSH 7 - 2 STL	NSH	STL
2025-03-27	NSH 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	15	0	1.02
1	STL	18	0	1.00
2	NSH	18	1	1.11
2	STL	18	1	1.86
3	NSH	15	1	1.55
3	STL	10	0	0.69

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown