Detroit Red Wings at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-02-02 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
🚨 Upset Loss (75% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 75.3%
DET: 24.7%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.73
DET: 2.38
Total Goals
Median: 5.6
Over 5.5: 54%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 31-6-6 | 0.921 SV% | 2.02 GAA
DET
John Gibson - 29-22-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.72 GAA
| Stat | COL | DET |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.893 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.968 | 0.862 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.895 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 2.97 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • COL at home vs DET: 2-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-02 | COL 0 - 2 DET | DET | COL |
| 2026-01-31 | DET 0 - 5 COL | COL | COL |
| 2025-03-25 | COL 5 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-07 | DET 1 - 2 COL | COL | COL |
| 2024-03-06 | COL 7 - 2 DET | COL | COL |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 75.3%
Total Goals
Actual: 2.0
Expected: 6.1
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 0 - 2 Detroit Red Wings
Expected: 3.7 - 2.4
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