Washington Capitals at Philadelphia Flyers NHL Predictions

2026-02-03 • Xfinity Mobile Arena

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Win Probability

PHI: 67.0%

WSH: 33.0%

Expected Goals

PHI: 3.36

WSH: 2.84

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 59%

Over 6.5: 45%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PHI at home vs WSH: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-31	WSH 6 - 4 PHI	WSH	WSH
2026-03-11	PHI 4 - 1 WSH	PHI	PHI
2026-02-25	WSH 3 - 1 PHI	WSH	PHI
2026-02-03	PHI 4 - 2 WSH	PHI	PHI
2025-03-20	WSH 3 - 2 PHI	WSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PHI	9	1	0.96
1	WSH	12	1	1.11
2	PHI	14	1	1.32
2	WSH	10	0	0.79
3	PHI	13	1	0.98
3	WSH	17	2	1.19

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 67.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown

Philadelphia Flyers 4 - 2 Washington Capitals

Expected: 3.4 - 2.8