Ottawa Senators at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-02-03 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 61.9%
OTT: 38.1%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.78
OTT: 2.71
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 61%
Over 6.5: 45%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
OTT
Linus Ullmark - 16-8-5 | 0.884 SV% | 2.86 GAA
| Stat | CAR | OTT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.881 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.882 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.938 | — |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.95 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 50% • CAR at home vs OTT: 3-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-03 | CAR 4 - 3 OTT | CAR | CAR |
| 2026-01-24 | OTT 1 - 4 CAR | CAR | OTT |
| 2025-04-17 | OTT 7 - 5 CAR | OTT | OTT |
| 2024-12-13 | CAR 0 - 3 OTT | OTT | CAR |
| 2024-11-16 | CAR 4 - 0 OTT | CAR | CAR |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 02:46 | OTT | Goal |
| 1 | 17:49 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 12:39 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 15:41 | CAR | Goal |
| 2 | 16:21 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 04:57 | CAR | Goal |
| 3 | 14:53 | CAR | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 61.9%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.5
Score Breakdown
Carolina Hurricanes 4 - 3 Ottawa Senators
Expected: 3.8 - 2.7