Seattle Kraken at Anaheim Ducks NHL Predictions

2026-02-03 • Honda Center

Anaheim Ducks 4 - 2 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

ANA: 54.1%

SEA: 45.9%

Expected Goals

ANA: 3.67

SEA: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

ANA

Lukas Dostal - 13-9-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.15 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	ANA	SEA
Season SV%	0.888	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	3.15	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
ANA	Lukas Dostal	28	26	2	92.9%	2.52	1	0.52
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	31	27	4	87.1%	3.91	3	-0.09

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • ANA at home vs SEA: 3-6

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-03	ANA 4 - 2 SEA	ANA	ANA
2026-01-23	SEA 2 - 4 ANA	ANA	ANA
2025-12-22	ANA 1 - 3 SEA	SEA	ANA
2025-10-09	SEA 3 - 1 ANA	SEA	SEA
2025-01-28	SEA 4 - 6 ANA	ANA	ANA

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	ANA	18	1	1.31
1	SEA	13	0	0.71
2	ANA	20	0	1.01
2	SEA	13	0	0.76
3	ANA	12	2	1.60
3	SEA	17	1	1.05

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 54.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown