Boston Bruins at Florida Panthers NHL Predictions
2026-02-04 • Amerant Bank Arena
Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Boston Bruins (SO)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
FLA: 59.7%
BOS: 40.3%
Expected Goals
FLA: 3.78
BOS: 2.84
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 66%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
FLA
Sergei Bobrovsky - 21-17-1 | 0.871 SV% | 3.13 GAA
BOS
Jeremy Swayman - 22-12-3 | 0.903 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | FLA | BOS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.888 | 0.903 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.837 | 0.889 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.883 | 0.826 |
| GAA | 2.80 | 2.84 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 44% • FLA at home vs BOS: 3-5
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | FLA 5 - 4 BOS | FLA | FLA |
| 2025-10-21 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
| 2025-03-11 | BOS 3 - 2 FLA | BOS | BOS |
| 2025-01-11 | FLA 3 - 4 BOS | BOS | FLA |
| 2024-10-14 | BOS 3 - 4 FLA | FLA | BOS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | 12:43 | BOS | Goal |
| 1 | 07:18 | FLA | Goal |
| 1 | 04:22 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 18:33 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 02:47 | FLA | Goal |
| 2 | 00:30 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 10:30 | FLA | Goal |
| 3 | 07:52 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
| 5 | 00:00 | FLA | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 59.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 9.0
Expected: 6.6
Score Breakdown
Florida Panthers 5 - 4 Boston Bruins
Expected: 3.8 - 2.8