Minnesota Wild at Nashville Predators NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Bridgestone Arena

Nashville Predators 5 - 6 Minnesota Wild (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

NSH: 57.5%

MIN: 42.5%

Expected Goals

NSH: 3.36

MIN: 3.26

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 60%

Over 6.5: 48%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

NSH

Juuse Saros - 15-13-3 | 0.897 SV% | 2.93 GAA

MIN

Filip Gustavsson - 13-8-4 | 0.912 SV% | 2.47 GAA

Stat	NSH	MIN
Season SV%	0.897	0.912
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.93	2.47

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
NSH	Juuse Saros	43	37	6	86.0%	4.10	2	-1.90
MIN	Filip Gustavsson	35	30	5	85.7%	3.34	2	-1.66

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 58% • NSH at home vs MIN: 6-4

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-01	NSH 1 - 3 MIN	MIN	MIN
2026-04-11	NSH 2 - 1 MIN	NSH	MIN
2026-02-04	NSH 5 - 6 MIN	MIN	NSH
2025-12-23	MIN 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	NSH
2025-11-04	MIN 3 - 2 NSH	MIN	MIN

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	NSH	17	1	1.36
1	MIN	17	0	1.15
2	NSH	19	1	1.27
2	MIN	14	1	1.13
3	NSH	10	0	0.68
3	MIN	26	1	1.57
4	NSH	1	0	0.04
4	MIN	4	0	0.25

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 57.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 11.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Nashville Predators 5 - 6 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.4 - 3.3