San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions
2026-02-04 • Ball Arena
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
COL: 58.8%
SJS: 41.2%
Expected Goals
COL: 3.28
SJS: 2.90
Total Goals
Median: 6.0
Over 5.5: 57%
Over 6.5: 40%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
SJS
Yaroslav Askarov - 17-15-2 | 0.888 SV% | 3.53 GAA
| Stat | COL | SJS |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.919 | 0.896 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.874 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.908 |
| GAA | 2.13 | 3.36 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • COL at home vs SJS: 5-0
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | COL 4 - 2 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-26 | COL 6 - 0 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2025-11-01 | SJS 3 - 2 COL | SJS | SJS |
| 2025-03-06 | COL 7 - 3 SJS | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-19 | SJS 2 - 4 COL | COL | SJS |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 15:47 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 01:05 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 18:43 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 12:44 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 03:34 | COL | Goal |
| 3 | 00:43 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 58.8%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.2
Score Breakdown
Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks
Expected: 3.3 - 2.9