San Jose Sharks at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-02-04 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Win Probability

COL: 66.5%

SJS: 33.5%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.40

SJS: 2.64

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 69%

Over 6.5: 53%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 100% • COL at home vs SJS: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-04	COL 4 - 2 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-26	COL 6 - 0 SJS	COL	COL
2025-11-01	SJS 3 - 2 COL	SJS	SJS
2025-03-06	COL 7 - 3 SJS	COL	COL
2024-12-19	SJS 2 - 4 COL	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	0	1.68
1	SJS	9	0	0.55
2	COL	22	3	2.72
2	SJS	11	1	0.86
3	COL	14	1	1.26
3	SJS	16	0	0.81

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 66.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 4 - 2 San Jose Sharks

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6