Vancouver Canucks at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions
2026-02-04 • T-Mobile Arena
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
VGK: 64.5%
VAN: 35.5%
Expected Goals
VGK: 3.75
VAN: 3.00
Total Goals
Median: 6.4
Over 5.5: 62%
Over 6.5: 49%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
VGK
Akira Schmid - 16-6-6 | 0.895 SV% | 2.53 GAA
VAN
Kevin Lankinen - 7-19-4 | 0.876 SV% | 3.67 GAA
| Stat | VGK | VAN |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.885 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.891 | 0.793 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.913 | 0.839 |
| GAA | 2.50 | 3.41 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • VGK at home vs VAN: 4-1
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-04 | VGK 5 - 2 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2025-04-16 | VAN 1 - 4 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2025-04-06 | VAN 2 - 3 VGK | VGK | VAN |
| 2025-02-22 | VGK 3 - 1 VAN | VGK | VGK |
| 2024-12-19 | VGK 3 - 1 VAN | VGK | VGK |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 19:51 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:39 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 07:11 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 06:34 | VGK | Goal |
| 2 | 05:09 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 03:31 | VGK | Goal |
| 3 | 02:31 | VGK | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 64.5%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.8
Score Breakdown
Vegas Golden Knights 5 - 2 Vancouver Canucks
Expected: 3.8 - 3.0