Pittsburgh Penguins at Buffalo Sabres NHL Predictions
2026-02-05 • KeyBank Center
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
BUF: 43.6%
PIT: 56.4%
Expected Goals
BUF: 2.88
PIT: 3.38
Total Goals
Median: 6.3
Over 5.5: 58%
Over 6.5: 42%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
BUF
Alex Lyon - 20-10-4 | 0.906 SV% | 2.77 GAA
PIT
Stuart Skinner - 23-17-9 | 0.888 SV% | 2.92 GAA
| Stat | BUF | PIT |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.906 | 0.888 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.847 | 0.886 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.871 | 0.855 |
| GAA | 2.82 | 2.91 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 33% • BUF at home vs PIT: 2-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-03-05 | PIT 1 - 5 BUF | BUF | PIT |
| 2026-02-05 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-11-26 | PIT 4 - 2 BUF | PIT | PIT |
| 2025-03-27 | BUF 7 - 3 PIT | BUF | PIT |
| 2025-01-17 | BUF 2 - 5 PIT | PIT | BUF |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
✅ Correct
Confidence: 56.4%
Total Goals
Actual: 7.0
Expected: 6.3
Score Breakdown
Buffalo Sabres 2 - 5 Pittsburgh Penguins
Expected: 2.9 - 3.4
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