Nashville Predators at Washington Capitals NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • Capital One Arena

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Nashville Predators

Win Probability

WSH: 68.2%

NSH: 31.8%

Expected Goals

WSH: 3.20

NSH: 2.52

Total Goals

Median: 6.5

Over 5.5: 66%

Over 6.5: 50%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 67% • WSH at home vs NSH: 2-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-05	WSH 4 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2026-01-11	NSH 3 - 2 WSH	NSH	NSH
2025-01-11	NSH 1 - 4 WSH	WSH	NSH
2024-11-06	WSH 3 - 2 NSH	WSH	WSH
2023-12-30	WSH 2 - 3 NSH	NSH	WSH

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	WSH	15	0	0.69
1	NSH	16	2	1.44
2	WSH	16	0	0.92
2	NSH	14	2	1.19
3	WSH	10	2	0.83
3	NSH	13	0	1.15

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 5.7

Score Breakdown

Washington Capitals 4 - 2 Nashville Predators

Expected: 3.2 - 2.5