Los Angeles Kings at Vegas Golden Knights NHL Predictions

2026-02-05 • T-Mobile Arena

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Win Probability

VGK: 58.2%

LAK: 41.8%

Expected Goals

VGK: 3.49

LAK: 3.07

Total Goals

Median: 5.8

Over 5.5: 58%

Over 6.5: 46%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 36% • VGK at home vs LAK: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	LAK 4 - 6 VGK	VGK	LAK
2026-02-05	VGK 4 - 1 LAK	VGK	VGK
2026-01-14	LAK 2 - 3 VGK	VGK	LAK
2025-10-08	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK
2025-03-09	VGK 5 - 6 LAK	LAK	VGK

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	VGK	18	0	1.20
1	LAK	17	3	1.45
2	VGK	7	0	0.58
2	LAK	18	1	1.08
3	VGK	9	1	0.73
3	LAK	17	0	0.74

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 58.2%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.6

Score Breakdown

Vegas Golden Knights 4 - 1 Los Angeles Kings

Expected: 3.5 - 3.1