Seattle Kraken at Dallas Stars NHL Predictions

2026-02-25 • American Airlines Center

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Win Probability

DAL: 60.6%

SEA: 39.4%

Expected Goals

DAL: 3.31

SEA: 2.62

Total Goals

Median: 6.3

Over 5.5: 55%

Over 6.5: 43%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • DAL at home vs SEA: 5-0

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-02-25	DAL 4 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-11-26	SEA 2 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-11-09	DAL 2 - 1 SEA	DAL	DAL
2025-03-31	SEA 1 - 3 DAL	DAL	SEA
2025-03-29	SEA 1 - 5 DAL	DAL	SEA

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	DAL	15	1	0.95
1	SEA	9	1	0.75
2	DAL	20	1	1.47
2	SEA	9	1	0.89
3	DAL	16	1	1.30
3	SEA	17	0	1.30

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 60.6%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 5.9

Score Breakdown

Dallas Stars 4 - 1 Seattle Kraken

Expected: 3.3 - 2.6