Colorado Avalanche at Utah Hockey Club NHL Predictions
2026-02-25 • Delta Center
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
🚨 Upset Loss (58% underdog)
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
UTA: 57.7%
COL: 42.3%
Expected Goals
UTA: 3.53
COL: 2.45
Total Goals
Median: 5.8
Over 5.5: 53%
Over 6.5: 38%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
UTA
Karel Vejmelka - 27-15-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.61 GAA
COL
Scott Wedgewood - 21-4-5 | 0.913 SV% | 2.29 GAA
| Stat | UTA | COL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.895 | 0.919 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.897 | 0.891 |
| SV% vs Opponent | 0.895 | 0.945 |
| GAA | 2.68 | 2.13 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 43% • UTA at home vs COL: 1-3
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-25 | UTA 2 - 4 COL | COL | UTA |
| 2025-12-23 | COL 1 - 0 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2025-10-21 | UTA 4 - 3 COL | UTA | UTA |
| 2025-10-09 | COL 2 - 1 UTA | COL | COL |
| 2024-12-27 | UTA 1 - 4 COL | COL | UTA |
⚡ In-Game Win Probability
Goals
| Period | Time | Team | Scorer |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2 | 17:17 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 13:20 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 12:20 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 10:49 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 09:13 | COL | Goal |
| 2 | 03:26 | COL | Goal |
🎯 Shot Chart
📈 Post-Game Analysis
Prediction Result
❌ Incorrect
Confidence: 57.7%
Total Goals
Actual: 6.0
Expected: 6.0
Score Breakdown
Utah Hockey Club 2 - 4 Colorado Avalanche
Expected: 3.5 - 2.4