New York Islanders at Montreal Canadiens NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Centre Bell

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New York Islanders (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (64% underdog)

Win Probability

MTL: 63.5%

NYI: 36.5%

Expected Goals

MTL: 3.66

NYI: 2.82

Total Goals

Median: 6.7

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 51%

MTL

Jakub Dobes - 29-10-4 | 0.901 SV% | 2.78 GAA

NYI

Ilya Sorokin - 29-24-2 | 0.906 SV% | 2.68 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 56% • MTL at home vs NYI: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-12	NYI 1 - 4 MTL	MTL	NYI
2026-03-21	MTL 7 - 3 NYI	MTL	MTL
2026-02-26	MTL 3 - 4 NYI	NYI	MTL
2025-03-20	NYI 4 - 3 MTL	NYI	MTL
2024-12-03	MTL 2 - 1 NYI	MTL	NYI

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 63.5%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.5

Score Breakdown

Montreal Canadiens 3 - 4 New York Islanders

Expected: 3.7 - 2.8