New Jersey Devils at Pittsburgh Penguins NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • PPG Paints Arena

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Win Probability

PIT: 68.0%

NJD: 32.0%

Expected Goals

PIT: 3.40

NJD: 2.57

Total Goals

Median: 6.6

Over 5.5: 67%

Over 6.5: 51%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • PIT at home vs NJD: 3-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-04-09	NJD 2 - 5 PIT	PIT	NJD
2026-02-26	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2026-01-08	PIT 4 - 1 NJD	PIT	PIT
2025-11-08	NJD 2 - 1 PIT	NJD	NJD
2025-04-11	NJD 2 - 4 PIT	PIT	PIT

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	PIT	14	1	1.36
1	NJD	14	0	0.99
2	PIT	18	2	1.81
2	NJD	19	2	1.82
3	PIT	17	2	1.78
3	NJD	18	1	0.84

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 68.0%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.0

Score Breakdown

Pittsburgh Penguins 4 - 1 New Jersey Devils

Expected: 3.4 - 2.6