Tampa Bay Lightning at Carolina Hurricanes NHL Predictions
2026-02-26 • Lenovo Center
Carolina Hurricanes vs Tampa Bay Lightning @ 7:00 PM EST
📊 Pre-Game Predictions
Win Probability
CAR: 67.4%
TBL: 32.6%
Expected Goals
CAR: 3.35
TBL: 2.12
Total Goals
Median: 5.1
Over 5.5: 48%
Over 6.5: 31%
🥅 Goalie Matchup
CAR
Brandon Bussi - 23-3-1 | 0.906 SV% | 2.16 GAA
TBL
Andrei Vasilevskiy - 28-7-3 | 0.920 SV% | 2.11 GAA
| Stat | CAR | TBL |
|---|---|---|
| Season SV% | 0.901 | 0.913 |
| Last 5 SV% | 0.915 | 0.921 |
| SV% vs Opponent | — | 0.818 |
| GAA | 2.33 | 2.33 |
Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.
Head-to-Head History
Model accuracy in this matchup: 57% • CAR at home vs TBL: 1-2
| Date | Score | Winner | Model Pick |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-02-26 | CAR | ||
| 2025-12-20 | TBL 6 - 4 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2025-03-11 | CAR 4 - 1 TBL | CAR | CAR |
| 2025-01-07 | TBL 3 - 2 CAR | TBL | TBL |
| 2024-10-11 | CAR 1 - 4 TBL | TBL | CAR |
🔮 Game Preview
This game is scheduled for 2026-02-26 at 7:00 PM EST.
Check back after the game for in-game win probability analysis and post-game results.