Philadelphia Flyers at New York Rangers NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Madison Square Garden

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers (OT)

🚨 Upset Loss (67% underdog)

Win Probability

NYR: 67.4%

PHI: 32.6%

Expected Goals

NYR: 2.91

PHI: 3.18

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 45%

NYR

Igor Shesterkin - 25-19-6 | 0.912 SV% | 2.50 GAA

PHI

Dan Vladar - 29-14-7 | 0.906 SV% | 2.42 GAA

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats.

Model accuracy in this matchup: 45% • NYR at home vs PHI: 3-3

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-09	PHI 2 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2026-02-26	NYR 2 - 3 PHI	PHI	NYR
2026-01-17	PHI 3 - 6 NYR	NYR	PHI
2025-12-20	NYR 5 - 4 PHI	NYR	NYR
2025-04-09	NYR 5 - 8 PHI	PHI	NYR

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 67.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 5.0

Expected: 6.1

Score Breakdown

New York Rangers 2 - 3 Philadelphia Flyers

Expected: 2.9 - 3.2