Seattle Kraken at St. Louis Blues NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Enterprise Center

St. Louis Blues 5 - 1 Seattle Kraken

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

STL: 72.4%

SEA: 27.6%

Expected Goals

STL: 3.50

SEA: 2.66

Total Goals

Median: 6.0

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

STL

Joel Hofer - 8-8-2 | 0.901 SV% | 2.87 GAA

SEA

Philipp Grubauer - 7-3-1 | 0.920 SV% | 2.32 GAA

Stat	STL	SEA
Season SV%	0.901	0.920
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.87	2.32

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
STL	Joel Hofer	24	23	1	95.8%	3.09	2	2.09
SEA	Philipp Grubauer	32	27	5	84.4%	3.53	5	-1.47

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 78% • STL at home vs SEA: 4-1

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-03-04	SEA 2 - 3 STL	STL	STL
2026-02-26	STL 5 - 1 SEA	STL	STL
2025-11-08	STL 3 - 4 SEA	SEA	STL
2025-04-12	SEA 4 - 3 STL	SEA	STL
2025-02-25	STL 7 - 2 SEA	STL	STL

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	STL	15	0	0.91
1	SEA	16	1	1.32
2	STL	19	3	1.68
2	SEA	13	1	1.15
3	STL	9	2	0.94
3	SEA	12	0	0.62

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

✅ Correct

Confidence: 72.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 6.0

Expected: 6.2

Score Breakdown