Minnesota Wild at Colorado Avalanche NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Ball Arena

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

🚨 Upset Loss (59% underdog)

Win Probability

COL: 59.4%

MIN: 40.6%

Expected Goals

COL: 3.46

MIN: 2.95

Total Goals

Median: 6.4

Over 5.5: 65%

Over 6.5: 49%

Model accuracy in this matchup: 71% • COL at home vs MIN: 7-2

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-05-13	COL 4 - 3 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-11	MIN 2 - 5 COL	COL	COL
2026-05-09	MIN 5 - 1 COL	MIN	COL
2026-05-05	COL 5 - 2 MIN	COL	COL
2026-05-03	COL 9 - 6 MIN	COL	COL

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	COL	21	1	1.33
1	MIN	16	1	1.28
2	COL	17	0	0.49
2	MIN	26	1	1.78
3	COL	29	1	1.63
3	MIN	10	4	2.43

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 59.4%

Total Goals

Actual: 7.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown

Colorado Avalanche 2 - 5 Minnesota Wild

Expected: 3.5 - 3.0