Edmonton Oilers at Los Angeles Kings NHL Predictions

2026-02-26 • Crypto.com Arena

Los Angeles Kings 1 - 8 Edmonton Oilers

🚨 Upset Loss (55% underdog)

📊 Pre-Game Predictions

Win Probability

LAK: 55.1%

EDM: 44.9%

Expected Goals

LAK: 3.03

EDM: 3.38

Total Goals

Median: 6.1

Over 5.5: 56%

Over 6.5: 43%

🥅 Goalie Matchup

LAK

Darcy Kuemper - 10-7-6 | 0.913 SV% | 2.27 GAA

EDM

Connor Ingram - 2-2-0 | 0.883 SV% | 3.28 GAA

Stat	LAK	EDM
Season SV%	0.913	0.883
Last 5 SV%	—	—
SV% vs Opponent	—	—
GAA	2.27	3.28

Last 5 / vs opponent shown when available in goalie stats. Confirmed goalie row used when available; otherwise current projected starter is shown.

Goalie Game Metrics

Team	Goalie	SA	Saves	GA	SV%	xGA	HD Faced	GSAx
LAK	Darcy Kuemper	37	29	8	78.4%	2.82	2	-5.18
EDM	Connor Ingram	22	21	1	95.5%	1.97	1	0.97

SA uses shots on goal plus goals. xGA, high-danger faced, and GSAx use modeled scoring attempts against. GSAx is xGA minus goals against.

Head-to-Head History

Model accuracy in this matchup: 64% • LAK at home vs EDM: 9-13

Date	Score	Winner	Model Pick
2026-10-13	LAK 1 - 4 EDM	EDM	EDM
2026-04-11	LAK 1 - 0 EDM	LAK	EDM
2026-02-26	LAK 1 - 8 EDM	EDM	LAK
2026-01-10	EDM 3 - 4 LAK	LAK	EDM
2025-05-01	EDM 6 - 4 LAK	EDM	EDM

Shot Quality by Period

Period	Team	Shots	High Danger	xG
1	LAK	12	1	0.67
1	EDM	11	0	0.39
2	LAK	16	0	1.02
2	EDM	20	1	0.96
3	LAK	7	0	0.28
3	EDM	18	1	1.46

Shots are modeled attempts: shots on goal, goals, and missed shots. Blocked shots are excluded. High danger is xG >= 0.20.

🎯 Shot Chart

📈 Post-Game Analysis

Prediction Result

❌ Incorrect

Confidence: 55.1%

Total Goals

Actual: 9.0

Expected: 6.4

Score Breakdown